Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 2503.000012 2715.038016 2930.532131 3165.623686 3414.561571 3670.003237 3951.619754
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2170.449382 2485.416821 2818.136711 3194.605146 3607.528259 4045.461475 4543.822877
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1939.295405 2313.175890 2719.651230 3191.952452 3723.151514 4299.677700 4970.192860
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1801.492726 2222.827862 2691.857160 3248.678001 3887.576136 4593.665857 5428.828898
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1644.058898 2094.071420 2606.169849 3226.220231 3950.651234 4764.340897 5741.230485
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1562.305440 2045.149408 2605.040400 3294.325446 4111.885291 5042.534939 6173.547078
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1466.255726 1971.236115 2567.539775 3313.412999 4210.803830 5245.202991 6516.626679
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1373.472372 1894.649733 2520.913826 3316.170904 4285.895695 5416.796094 6821.476935
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1241.872311 1761.680058 2398.165318 3219.512755 4235.337559 5434.566965 6940.428937
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1217.107602 1762.498199 2439.579113 3323.569909 4428.060338 5743.383693 7407.823778
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1178.235102 1742.231273 2452.212943 3390.040893 4573.702781 5995.489064 7808.330240
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1112.820942 1683.283218 2412.271508 3387.316624 4631.244792 6139.056893 8076.940468
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1035.855247 1606.156543 2346.906271 3351.076172 4646.913318 6232.821830 8288.212700
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 990.828639 1570.356531 2333.942099 3381.243242 4746.176685 6430.493337 8629.081941
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 936.669415 1518.905935 2297.560234 3378.475950 4801.549483 6572.409853 8900.739575
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 909.344319 1503.729820 2308.744674 3437.660478 4936.573464 6814.882089 9299.320631
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 854.560783 1446.312393 2259.799344 3414.230509 4962.185789 6917.670465 9522.070713
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 835.976296 1440.552715 2281.284459 3485.278751 5111.825606 7179.179085 9946.897911
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 801.580285 1409.603239 2266.110783 3505.188343 5193.071846 7352.875607 10260.889668
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 763.863088 1371.780149 2239.586115 3508.064923 5250.603383 7495.551222 10535.576865
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 696.678153 1285.574881 2140.701121 3407.232332 5165.719981 7450.669399 10567.144876
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 695.707014 1302.196701 2190.742808 3515.782187 5365.609774 7779.790189 11084.596766
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 683.421629 1300.244068 2213.152726 3585.104311 5512.315328 8039.915506 11514.229233